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Precision Blackjack Online Seminar

The Rise and Fall of Basic Strategy and Card Counting - 5

Basic Strategy was the first mathematical system developed for Blackjack. However, it is almost 40 years old and was based on the premise of a SINGLE deck of cards and a RANDOM shuffle. Also, card counting, almost 35 years old, used these premises as well as assuming that the game would be dealt to the BOTTOM of the deck. Both of these systems are static, or 100% mechanical, with NO FLEXIBILITY WHATSOEVER.

In 1982, Atlantic City casinos lost a very important court case in which they were no longer allowed to bar skilled Blackjack players. So the casinos hired consultants to figure out how to subvert the game to defeat the Basic Strategy players and card counters. Because these two systems are static, it didn't take the consultants long to find a way to beat them. The first thing casinos did was add multiple decks to the game. This created wider swings in the count due to increased card clumping as a result of a non-random shuffle. How many big bets have you lost in high counts? The second thing they did was to move up the cut card to reduce the counters' advantage. Sure, there might be an excess of tens left, but the counter has no way of knowing if they are behind the cut card or not. Third, they began to pick up the cards and put them into the discard tray immediately after a player would break rather than leave them on the table until the end of the round. This created what we call "Break-Card Clumping." In general, the cards left on the table would be two-card twenties or nineteens, thus creating "high-card clumps." The reverse would automatically happen as well. Usually the breaking hands would contain a strong majority of low cards, which would be stacked in the discard tray right on top of each other. Then the twenties and nineteens left would be put on top of the breaking hands, creating a low-card clump followed by a high card clump. At this point, you may agree with everything we've said, but your next question is, "Wouldn't the shuffle break up these clumps?" NO!!! Read on.

NON-RANDOM SHUFFLES

A Harvard Mathematician did a study a few years ago on shuffling and concluded that it takes seven shuffles to approach randomness with a single deck of cards. So if your casino is using eight decks, the cards would have to be shuffled 7+7+7+7+7+7+7+7 times to achieve this. That is a very big number! It would take years to shuffle at this rate. The point is that the cards are NOT randomized as believed by most people. All this led to the most damaging change - the reduction of the dealer break ratio, which according to the old math was 28%, or 1 out of 3.5 hands. When was the last time YOU saw the dealer break like this on average? Anyone who plays the multi-deck game on a regular basis KNOWS this to be TOTALLY UNREALISTIC! 15 - 20% is much more like it. Basic Strategy relies on this 28% ratio exclusively to make everything work. When this ratio breaks down, Basic Strategy breaks down with it. How does this happen???

Because of the Low and High - card Clumping! First, with low cards clumping together, it is impossible for the dealer to break. The dealer must hit to seventeen and if low cards are coming out, guess what? This is where you see those all - too- common five, six, and seven card nineteen's, twenties, and twenty-one's that the dealer seems to miraculously mass - produce to beat you again and again. Since Basic Strategy tells you to stand with your stiff hand against an up card of 2-6, you are losing far too many of these hands when low cards are running. If the dealer can't break here, neither can you. The cards don't know who is dealing! Second, in high-card clumps the dealer usually ends up with those all-too-common two card twenties. How many times have you received one of these hands with the dealer's Ten up staring you in the face and you got a sick feeling in your stomach because you just KNEW the hole card was a Ten? This is NOT by accident. Remember, high cards favor the player so what the casinos have done is actually removed player favorable cards with NO LOSS to them at all, since a push costs them nothing. This is legalized cheating-just like short decking in the old days, except disguising it!

Now that you are aware of the dirty little tricks the casinos play, what is the answer? By tampering with the natural odds of the game, the casinos have left themselves vulnerable to Flexible Card Play tactics!!! If the cards are not random, they must be PREDICTABLE to a certain extent. Imagine being able to predict the dealer's hole card and the hit cards with amazing accuracy! To make matters worse, many double and spilt plays occur in the midst of low - card clumps so the player is putting out more money at the worst possible time. Think about it - how many times do you double when you see low cards all over the table and you KNOW the next card is low? But, you do it anyway because the $9.95 book you bought said so, and you lose again, and again , and again ...

Here is where Basic Strategy fails - because players never alter their play sooner or
later the odds of the game will catch up to them. Remember, the odds favor the house.
All the Basic Strategy player can hope for is a "hot run" to bet up into before the house edge catches up with them. Of course we know how often this happens - very rarely. STOP!!! It is time to change your thinking and start playing on a higher level.

You Will Learn:

  1. Money management
  2. To recognize "hot zones"
  3. How to use card flow reading as a tool to make logical predictions on the dealer's down card and your hit cards
  4. How to switch betting schemes to address swings in the shoe
  5. A card counting enhancement
  6. Partner and team play tactics
  7. How to receive and maximize "Comps"
  8. Table scouting factors
  9. Fundamental card play
  10. When to play basic strategy and when to deviate from basic strategy 
  11. The "Table Minimum Spread Factor" and "Chisel Ploy" tactics
  12. Spot Betting
  13. How to play Blackjack as a business
  14. Stop wins/stop losses
  15. Table selection / departure 
  16. Advanced card play tactics
  17. Betting tactics designed for the "streaky" and the common "choppy" type games 
  18. A unique advantage and bet enhancement strategy for the  1st base position
  19. Fine points of head to head play with the dealer 
  20. Casino insight from "the other side of the table"
  21. And much more . . 

I hope you have gained some insight from our seminar. Feel free to call or drop an email if you have any questions or just want to talk Blackjack.

Regards,
Ron DiBenedetto
E-mail
http://www.precision21.com/

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Introduction & Betting Tactics >>
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Page Five:  		 Introduction and Betting Tactics
The Card Manufacturing Process
Why Is Precision Blackjack Better?
The Game and What the Rules Teach Us
The Rise and Fall of Basic Strategy and Card Counting

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